HANDICAPPINGWINNERS.COM
Home ] Products ] Subscribe ] How To Order ] Diamond System ] [ Free ] Today's Picks ] Boxcar Longshots ] Recent Winners ] NFL Bets ] Printouts ] Harness Systems ] Thoroughbetting ] Class ] ESR ] Favorites ] Breeders Cup ] Longshot Book ] Track Bias ] Power Pace ] Real Time ]

 

Format notes: LS live longshot, PP preferred Play, BAL Bombs Away Longshot, BCL Boxcar Longshot, PS fits the Pro Simulcast spot play method.  MA means that it fits the Pace Shape method, POP Power Pace Method

 

Note: Although racing is back at NYRA, no fans are allowed. As some of you may know, I do the selections for a tip sheet called Clocker Lawton. The sheet has been on sale for about 70 years and I've been the handicapper for it for half that time. It's the oldest established tip sheet in New York and the only one that stood the test of time. But, since no fans are allowed in the track, we can't publish the sheet. Therefore, as of right now, I am not going to offer subscriptions for the second half of the year, as I always do. When the fans are allowed in the track and we can start selling the sheet again, I'll probably start this service again.  I'll give out some free picks some days. Once fans are allowed in, I'll probably start the subscriptions again with a prorated price.  I appreciate having you as customers and I realize that some of you have been subscribing or following my picks and handicapping methods for a long time. Watch for free picks. 

 

Sunday, November 29

AQUEDUCT

RACE 2

3 HEYMACKIT'SJACK
11 MASKED MARAUDER

RACE 3

8 COMPLIANT 
5 OBSESSED

RACE 6

3 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
9 THIRD DRAFT

 

 

Wednesday, November 25

DELTA DOWNS

RACE 2

6 SEE SASSY RUN

RACE 3

4 WISE VERDICT
9 WISE ANCHOR
6 COAST GUARDSMAN





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

KENTUCKY DERBY POWER PACE RATINGS SORTED BY AVERAGE SPEED

I posted yesterday's Kentucky Derby Power Pace Ratings above. This is the reason why most of my bets these days are made using mostly computer handicapping programs. Even though Authentic looked good, I thought that he would be used hard to get the lead and his pedigree was speed oriented so I downplayed his chances, even though he was obviously a top contenders on my computer systems, Real Time, and Power Pace. It did help him when the 10 horse, Thousand Words, also trained by Baffert, was scratched right before the race, and that Honor A.P. broke slow.

 Note that Authentic is tied for 2nd on Speed (which is an average of each horse's best two speed figures in its last four races, all of these ratings are based on averages). And, with my adjusted pace figures, Authentic clearly looks very good here. He has the highest ESR (Early Speed Rating) by four points. On AE2, Authentic has the highest pace rating of 120. AE2 is a rating I developed where the program adjusts the Brisnet E2 or second call rating using a formula I developed to highlight horses that have dynamic ability. On Late pace, Tiz The Law is top ranked at 162 and Authentic is next at 145. Again, the Late Pace rating is not a typical late pace rating. I take the Brisnet Late Pace and adjust it by giving horses bonus points if they beat par to the second call and par for the late pace call. So these are basically exaggerated ratings, designed to show dynamic speed and form so the good horses stick out. 

 The program makes it look like Tiz The Law, Authentic, and Honor A.P. are clearly better than the other horses, and I do think that's right. I thought that Max Player was a live longshot here, and Max Player did race well, finishing well for 5th in a traffic plagued trip. Honor A.P. also raced well, very well, in fact. Before the race, jockey Mike Smith said that he was concerned about Honor A.P. breaking well because he had come out of the gate crooked in his prior race. Smith indicated that he wanted to leave the gate with Honor A.P. Well, that didn't happen because Honor A.P. broke slow and was 14th in the 15 horse field. He raced very gamely after a wide trip to finish 4th.

 Another big factor when handicapping this race was Bob Baffert, who has now won six Kentucky Derby races. Baffert is obviously a good trainer but I also think that he's a corrupt trainer who most likely uses some sort of illegal substances. I've felt this way for many years because Baffert's horses are often able to run sensational races that defy physics. His horses can get used hard early but, unlike most horses, they don't slow down that much late. There are several other trainers who get to train expensive well-bred horses. Trainers like Todd Pletcher. Pletcher wins a lot of races and a lot of stakes races but his horses run like normal good horses. They don't look like they're juiced up. 

 Baffert has had all sorts of medication problems in his career. Yesterday on the NBC telecast, they mentioned that two of Baffert's top three year olds tested positive for a banned substance at the Oaklawn meet, resulting in fines and suspensions. We know that his former champion, Justified, tested positive prior to the Kentucky Derby in 2018 but the drug positive was hidden from the public until after the horse won the Triple Crown. Baffert also had 7 horses if his drop dead back in 2011 and 2012 and for some reason, the CHRB (California Horse Racing Board) didn't even fine him. The CHRB has always protected Baffert. 

 

 

 

Note: This is a new longshot test, it's not going to generate a high percentage of winners. 

Thursday, September 3

 

ARLINGTON

1). 4 ($2.40 show)
2). 5 (9-1 out)
3). 5 (19-1 out)
4). 3 (12-1 out)
5). 4 scratched
6). 8 ($4.00 place)
7). 7 (29-1 out)
8). 5 (3-1 out)
9). 4 scratched

Tuesday, August 25

 

PARX


8). 5 (2, 3, 8) (29-1, out)
10). 5 (7,10,8) (6-1, out)

 

Sunday, August 23

I had a strong day on Sunday with 5 top winners including a $31.00 winner that keyed several big exotic hits. I marked the results below. 

SARATOGA

  1. UPTOWN FLIRT, COMMUNITY ADJUSTED (5-1)

  2. WICKSTERS DREAM, MISSION WRAPITUP, VICTORY BOULEVARD (3-4-2)

  3. FIFTH RISK, AMERICAN WEST, JADE EMPRESS (5-3-6) (5 won paid $4.00, 5-6 exacta paid $11.20)

  4. NO SALT, BLACK IRISH, SUPPLY SIDER, FALSE ALARM (2-3-4-7) (2 won paid $2.70, 2-7 exacta paid $14.20, Cold 5-2 Double paid $6.40)

  5. HIGH COMMAND, COLD HARD CASH, DANCERS FOR TOKEN (4-7-3) (4 won and paid $31.00, cold 4-7 exacta paid $163.50, Cold 2-4 Double paid $70.50, cold Pick 3 paid $141.00)

  6. TOWERING GAZE, SILENT EMPRESS, MIA BEA STAR (1-5-6) (1 won and paid $4.00, cold Double paid $120.00, Cold Pick 3 paid $114.00)

  7. MOUNT TRAVERS, HOME RUN MAKER, BIG ENGINE (7-5-1)

  8. RUSHING FALL, SISTERCHARLIE, MEAN MARY (3-5-6) (3 won and paid $4.80, 3-6 exacta paid $13.20, 3-6-5 trifecta paid $30.00)

  9. AINTITFUNKYNOW**, ALLIED INVASION, RINGGOOD, NERO'S FIDDLE (6-3-2-5)

BEST BET: AINTITFUNKYNOW 9th Race

 

 

POWER PACE METHOD 

Tests note: This is the test I ran for my Power Pace Handicapping book. The picks were posted on this page prior to the day's races, so it was a "live" test. Results are based on $2 win and place bets and when there are numbers after the top pick, those are used in $2 exacta boxes with the top pick. When the pick does not finish 1st or 2nd I simply list it as "out" because I'm not counting show bets. After 44 days, 71 winners-24%, 113 placed-39% in 293 picks ($582.00), total win return $708.70, place return $559.10, $2.00 Exacta boxes, $528.00 wagered, $559.60.00 returned, exactas paid $255.60, $40.80, $11.40, $15.80, $26.60, $14.80, $14.20, $51.60, $24.80, $97.40, $6.60. Six of the eleven exacta hits were "cold." 

So far, pretty amazing...win and exacta profits and a small loss on place bets. The win percentage is 24%. Considering how many longshots I've hit, the win percentage is superb. High win percentages usually lead to a loss. The hit percentage on the 132, $2.00 exacta boxes ($4.00 per wager) is 8%, 10 exacta hits in 132 boxes. I'm not using traditional past performances at all. I'm only using pace and speed figures, no running lines. Of course, how I'm using these numbers is the key. I'm not looking for the fastest early pace horses, I'm not looking for the highest (fastest) speed figures. 

The first day wasn't that good, although 11 of the 23 horses ran first or second. I picked too many favorites. Second day, I cut down on the amount of favorites and hit the exact same win percentage (22%) but two of the winners paid very good, $58.20 and $11.20. I also had a cold $255.60 exacta. In that race, the two horse looked like a legit favorite that figured to be tough to beat, so I listed the race 8-2, which is what came in. I'm only putting a second horse or third horse when I see obvious horses to use in exacta boxes. 

The third day was exceptional as I hit 3 winners in 8 plays and the win payoffs were $106.20, $12.80, and $11.60, plus two other horses ran second and I hit a $40.80 exacta. It's interesting that I've only played exactas in three races and hit two exactas. 

On Thursday, which was the 4th day, it had 4 winners in 17 picks and a profit of $0.40 cents. 

On Friday, the 5th day, 20 picks, 5 winners and 10 places. No good prices so a loss for the day, although the place bets returned $38.90, a small loss. 

On Saturday, 6th day, 7 picks 2 winners and one ran 2nd, small loss, not bad. 

Sunday, 7th day, 13 picks, 4 winners, 5 placed. Not a bad day, a loss of $0.40 cents. It's

Monday, 8th day, two horses, no winners. In the 6th at Delaware I had a tough choice between two horses, the 5 and the 6, and I went with the 6 because it had better overall speed figures (one of the things I'm using to separate these contenders). Well, the 5 horse won and paid $51.40. So for now on if I'm having a hard time deciding between two horses I'll play both of them if the are 4-1 or higher. If both horses are below 4-1 odds, the bet will be the horse that goes off at higher odds. 

Tuesday, 9th day, 8 picks, 3 winners, all at Parx, all favorites, which produced a loss on win bets, five horses placed which showed a profit, exactas, one hit, a loss of twenty cents. I really don't want to include too many favorites but the horses at Parx yesterday all looked like locks on this system, and they all won. 

Wednesday, 10th day, 8 picks, 3 winners returned $13.40 to win, not a bad loss. Interesting that ion two of the races I listed other horses for exactas and they came in so it's a good sign, when my top pick hits I have a good shot at the exacta. 

Thursday, 11th day, 1 pick, out. 

No picks Friday

Saturday, 12th day, pretty good day, two winners in 9 picks, four places and one of the horses paid $26.40 to place

Sunday, 13th day, winning day. 13 picks two winners that paid $20.20 and $13.00. But favorites did poorly losing at 6/5, 1/2, 7/5 and 9/5. I've got to start listing these with a minimum acceptable odds. 

Monday, 14th day, 4 winning favorites but 8 of the 13 horses placed. Two exacta boxes produced one hit at $26.60. 

Tuesday, 15th day, 7 picks, 2 winners and a small loss, one cold exacta hit of $14.80. 

Wednesday, 16th day, 11 picks and on win bets, two winners and a $21.40 return, another small loss, not bad. When you can get back most of your money in a day of betting, that's good. What worries me is when I bet 11 horses and get nothing back! So far this system has been consistent and not that scary, no wipe-out days. 

Thursday, 17th day, I was pressed for time but I came up with 8 picks at four tracks, two of them won at $9.60 and $5.40, another placed and one exacta hit out of six. Again, a small loss on win bets, not bad. 

Friday, 18th day, 4 winners and one exacta ($51.60) in 18 plays, not a good day. Where's those longshot winners that came early on?

Monday, 19th day, 2 winners in 7 plays including a $14.20 winner and two others ran second, profitable day. 

Tuesday, August 4, 20th day, 3 winners in 7 plays and a return of $20.80 on the win bets. 

Wednesday, August 5, 21st day, 2 winners in 10 races, two others ran second, one exacta hit. 

Thursday, August 6, 22nd day, 4 races, no winners, one ran second and paid $5.00 to place

Saturday, August 8, 23rd day, 5 picks, one winner

Sunday, August 9, 24th day, nice day, six picks, two winners, a $97.40 exacta with a horse that ran second at 24-1, and four of the six horses placed. 

Monday, August 10, 25th day, only 1 chalk winner in 6 plays, another ran second. 

Saturday, August 15, 26th day, 0 for 5, one horse ran second at 9-1

Sunday, August 16, 0 for 3 and one horse ran second at 4-1

Monday, August 17, 28th day, 2 picks, no winners. 

Tuesday, August 18, 29th day, bad day, 7 picks, no winners, one horse placed at 7-2 odds. 

Monday, August 24, 6 picks, one winner

Saturday, August 29, great day, one pick, and it won and paid $44.10.

Sunday, 32nd day, August 30, 0 for 2

Monday, August 31, 33rd day, bad day, 0 for 4. Parx has been more speed favoring since it came back from a month off. 

Sunday, September 6, 34th day, very good day, two winners in 3 picks including a $25.20 winner!

Monday, September 7, 35th day, one pick ran second

Sunday, September 20, 36th day, two picks, one ran second

Friday, September 25, 37th day, three picks at Penn National, and a nice $24.80 winner)

Saturday, September 26, 38th day, one pick, one winner, $14.60

Sunday, September 27, 39th day, two picks, no winners. 

Saturday, October 3, 40th day, two picks, one winner paid $3.30 with a cold $6.60 exacta.

Saturday, October 10, 41st day, one pick, one $10.00 winner

Sunday, October 11, 42nd day, two picks, no winners

Saturday, October 17, 43rd day, one pick, no winners

Saturday, October 24, two picks, one $3.40 winner

 

Saturday, October 24

Woodbine

2). 5 Titan 1 (5-1, ran third)

Parx

2). 3 Behr In The Woods 2 (won easily, paid $3.40)

Saturday, October 17

Keeneland

4). 5 Torcida (5-1 out)

Sunday, October 11

Woodbine

1). 6 Wheres The Duke 4 (7-2 out)

3). 4 Del Cielo 3 (5-1 out)

Saturday, October 10

Santa Anita

3). 3 All Star Parade (won, $10.00)

Saturday, October 3

Hawthorne

1). 2 Nagy's Piggy Bank 5 (won $3.40, cold $6.60 exacta)

Keeneland

10). 2 Anythingyoucando 7 (5-2 out...7 won and paid $12.20)

Sunday, September 27

Churchill

5). 5 Fearless Majesty 4 (5-1 out)

Woodbine

10). 14 Sizzling 2 (9-1 out)

Saturday, September 26

Woodbine

4). 2 Notaloneinhishead 5 (won, $14.60, $6.40)

Friday, September 25

Penn National

3). 6 Thirty One Always 5 (won, $24.80, $9.00)

4). 4 Great Life 6 (7-2 out)

7). 2 Deputy Cavalier 7 (ran third at 10-1)

Sunday, September 20

Churchill

3). 5 Purimeter 3 (6-1 out)

Parx

5). 5 Endless Ride 2 (2-1, ran second, $3.20 place)

Monday, September 7

Woodbine

3). 6 Red Fever (3-1 odds, finished 2nd, $3.80 place)

Sunday, September 6

Monmouth

2). 4 More Hundred Acre 5 (won $25.20, $10.60)

Presque Isle Downs

2). 4 Wisenbossy (won $3.20, $2.20)

Woodbine

2). 6 Wild Dyna (ran third at 8-1)

Monday, August 31

Parx

2). 6 Bachman Billy 5 (3-2 out)

3). 9 Bubz Foo Foo 8 (5-1 out)

7). 4 Park Ranger 5 (7-1 out)

10). 8 Speightscity  (5-1 out)

Presque Isle Downs

4). 5 Frosty Girl 8 (5-1 out)

Sunday, August 30

Monmouth

7). 2 S. S. Minnow 1 (7-2 out)

Del Mar

10). 12 Kiss My Face 8 (out)

Saturday, August 29

Woodbine

4). 3 Victory Ring 1 (won $44.10)

Monday, August 24

Delaware

6). 1 Doc Of The Court 4 (5-1 out)

8). 4 Danzig Storm 3 (7-2 out)

Finger Lakes

3). 1 Brasstown Sheriff 4 (9-2 out)

5). 3 Jet Set Cat (4-1 out)

Presque Isle Downs

2). 8 Guy On The Go (2-1 out)

6). 3 Just Too Much (won, $6.20)

Tuesday, August 18

Finger Lakes

5). 5 Who

6). 2 Easy Street

8). 3 Very Accomplished

9). 1 Joy Ride 3

Indiana 

2). 4 Flaming Desire 11

Fort Erie

1). 4 Cajun Kiss

2). 6 One Way Express 3

Monday, August 17

Finger Lakes

6). 7 Two And Twenty 3 (5-1 out)

Thistledown

8). 7 Uncle Virgil (2-1 out)

Sunday, August 16

Del Mar

3). 4 Cat Burglar 2 (ran 2nd, $5.60 place)

Gulfstream

3). 9 Tactica For Ever 8 (9-1 out)

4). 2 Ottauquechee 1 (12-1 out)

Saturday, August 15

Arlington

3). 3 Premura 5 (7-2 out)

Del Mar

2). 5 Warren's Jen Fizz (16-1 out)

6). 4 Baccelo 11 (9-1, ran second, $9.80 place)

Woodbine

1). 7 Baldur 8 (12-1 out)

4). 6 Philip The Tank (5-2 out)

Monday, August 10

Parx

8). 6 Image 1 (17-1 out)

Thistledown

1). 5 N C C Troubador 3 (67-1 out)

2). 6 Big Roques (14-1 out)

4). 5 Diesel Only 6, 2 (ran 2nd, $3.00 place)

5). 6 Jango 2 (won $4.20, $2.60)

6). 6 Baby Wildcat 4 (6-1 out)

Sunday, August 9

Del Mar

4). 2 China Prince 4 (2-1 out)

Monmouth

1). 4 Culminating 6 (8-1 out)

4). 5 Beijing House 2 (ran 2nd at 24-1, $15.80 place, 2-5 exacta paid $97.40)

6). 6 First Ronin 5 (ran 2nd at 10-1 odds, $6.40 place)

Woodbine

2). 7 Wales End (won $5.90, $4.20)

9). 5 Ida Bambina1 (won $13.60, $5.40)

Saturday, August 8

Del Mar

10). 1 Crystal Harbor 2 (8-1 out)

Monmouth

5). 3 Lubango 4 (won, $5.20, $3.00)

Gulfstream

3). 5 Naval Command 2 (2-1 out)

4). 6 Gala Award 5 (7-1 out)

Arlington

1). 5 Tiz Lately 2 (7-2 out)

Thursday, August 6

Belterra

2). 6 My Harlequin Man 5 (18-1 out)

Charlestown

5). 7 Majestic Indeed 5-2 out

Del Mar

1). 3 Avicii (4-1, ran 2nd, $5.00 place)

Finger Lakes

9). 8 Senora de Lolol (7-2 out)

Wednesday, August 5

Del Mar

8). 4 Avo 2 (9-2 out)

Praire Meadows

1). 2 Tournado Lynnie won $3.60, $2.60

2). 2 Damaris 3 (3-2 out)

5). 4 Bluegrass Soul won $6.40, $4.00

6). 7 Tyler T 6 (ran 2nd, $5.00 place)

Thistledown

1). 6 Gypsy Spin 1 (75-1 ran third)

3). 2 Citizen John 5 (5-2 out)

4). 7 Notta Boat 5 (19-1 out)

6). 7 Indielo 6 (ran 2nd, $3.80 place, 6-7 exacta paid $24.80)

8). 5 Gun Roar 4 (9-1 out)

Tuesday, August 4

Delaware

1). 4 Grace Is A Beauty 5 (3-2 out)

2). 6 Mud Slide Slim 4 (won, $9.40, $3.80)

Parx

3). 3 Hisnameisjon 8 (3-1 out)

5). 5 Hey Kiddo 2 (won $4.60, $2.80)

7). 5 Jay Eye See 9 (5-2 out)

9). 2 Goldland 6 (won $6.80, $4.00)

Indiana 

9). 11 Candy Striker (7-1 out)

Monday, August 3

Thistledown

4). 3 Hide n Jane 7 (ran 2nd, $4.60 place)

6). 5 Proper Touch 4 (6-1 out)

Presque Isle Downs

2). 4 Carson's Ten 1 (9-2 out)

Finger Lakes

3). 7 Quiet Power 2 (6-1 out)

6). 4 River Monster (won, $14.20, $6.00)

8). 8 Just Catty 4 (7-1, ran 2nd, $6.00 place)

9). 5 Easy Street (won, $4.10, $2.90)

No Picks Sunday, August 2

No Picks Saturday, August 1

Friday, July 31

Arlington

1). 6 Itzacoldcase 1 (4-1 out)

Belterra

1). 2 Touch Wood 3 (6-5 out)

3). 3 Yankee Diva won $4.20, $3.40

4). 3 Pretentious Belle (5-2 out)

Ellis Park

1). 7 Trawee (ran 2nd, $3.80 place)

5). 2 Precipice Trail (won $5.00, $3.60)

Emerald Downs

5). 6 Shadow Code 2 (6-1 out)

Finger Lakes

6). 3 My Kryptonite 6 (5-1 out)

Gulfstream

5). 7 Rednamite 4 (22-1 out)

Monmouth

8). 5 Bama Bound (4-1 out)

Thistledown

3). 4 Clever Performance 1 (won $4.80, $3.20)

4). 3 Hour By Hour 8 (won $3.60, $3.40)

5). 3 Pearl Of Wisdom (7-5 out)

6). 4 Zipco or 7 Boom de Ya  Da (whichever goes off at highest odds, plus 4-7 exacta box) (6-1 ran second, $6.00 place, 7-4 exacta paid $51.60)

Indiana 

3). 3 Just Likea Bird 4 (8-1 out)

4). 8 Heading To Boca 2 (8-1 out)

6). 10 My Night Flight 3 (7-2 out)

7). 6 Tiaras N Tutoos 2 (19-1 out)

 

Thursday, July 30

Arlington

1). 3 Wall Student 3 (22-1 out)

Belterra

3). 3 Pleasant Trip won $9.60, $4.40

Presque Isle Downs

1). 5 Shopper 3 (ran 2nd $3.00 place, 3-5 exacta paid $14.20)

2). 5 Cowgirl Spirit 1 (6-1 out)

3). 5 Wish To Opine 4 (33-1 out)

6). 4 Miss Twinkle Toes 6 (4-1 out)

7). 3 Ex Con (9-2 out)

Evangeline

7). 6 Rikleiner 3 (won $5.40, $3.20)

Wednesday, July 29

Delaware

2). 7 Catch Me Kaz 6 (5-1 out)

6). 7 Party Starter 5-1 out

Evangeline

7). 4 Powder Road won $7.60, $2.80

Indiana 

3). 7 Hotbutteredsoul 4 (6-5 out)

4). 2 Echo Go 8 (14-1 out)

6). 1 Fear The Kitten (2-1 out)

Presque Isle Downs

6). 2 Wave Catching 1 (15-1 out)

8). 5 Cosmic Karma (4-1 out)

Thistledown

3). 2 Rambo Rib 6 (6-1 out)

5). 2 Flash A Smile 3 won, $13.80, $7.60

8). 6 Slamming Gin (8-5, finished 1st, dq'd placed 2nd, $2.60 place)

Tuesday, July 28

Presque Isle 

2). 8 Tippany 5 won $4.20, $2.80, cold 8-5 exacta paid $14.80

Parx

1). 6 Pearls For Girls 3 (8-5 out)

Indiana

1). 9 Hadda Notion 2 (5-1 out)

2). 3 Wind Rider 7 (won, $9.20, $5.00)

3). 3 Lagoon of Diamonds 2,8 (6.70-1, out)

6). 5 Escalate 8 (2-1 out)

8). 9 Rustica 4 (15-1 out)

Monday, July 27 (I'm still not sure about the odds, I may limit it to 3-2 odds or higher, but I have to do some research. Some of these today may be underlays)

Thistledown

2). 1 Nice Shot won $5.00, $3.60

4). 1 Pretty Heiress 2-1 out

Presque Isle Downs

4). 2 Spirit Of Peace ran 2nd, $4.00 place

Parx 

2). 1 Surfing U S A ran 2nd, $2.60 place

3). 2 So Valor ran 2nd, $3.60 place

5). 3 He's So Fine 9-5 out

9). 6 Litlmisssmartypants 2 (ran 2nd, $3.60 place, 2-6 exacta returned $26.60)

Delaware

1). 6 Slan Abhaile (former class horse won for fun, paid $3.80, $2.40)

5). 5 Cay To Pomeroy 2 (7-2 out....the two horse, my 2nd ranked pick, won and paid $12.00, a good sign even though it produced a losing exacta box)

Finger Lakes

4). 1 Rincon Behr 5-2 out

5). 4 Global Warrior won, $4.70, $3.60

8). 5 Mondor won, $3.00, $2.30

9). 5 Busted Handle (8-1 out)

Sunday, July 26

Del Mar

1). 4 L X Sunrise 6 (6-1 out)

Monmouth

4). 1 First Ronin 3, 8 (7-1 out)

Woodbine

10). 4 She's A Ringer 6 (7-1 out)

Gulfstream

10). 7 Houston Bull 6 (8-1 out)

11). (turf or dirt) 7 Planar 3 (7-5 out)

Belterra (BTP) 

1). 5 Ratina 15-1 out

7). 9 H. J. Arvin won $20.20, $9.00

Canterbury

10). 1 Circus Girl 4 won $13.00, $8.20

Ellis Park

2). 4 Kody With A K 6-5 out

7). 2 Great Stuff 6 (1/2 out)

8). 7 Brown Almighty 5 (7-5 out)

Parx

3). 5 Magic Harbor (9-5 out)

5). 3 Big Variety (5-1 out)

Saturday, July 25

Del Mar

9). 3 Tannersmymuscle 25-1 out

Arlington

5). 3 Read To Me won $8.40, $4.00

Gulfstream

6). 3 Plausibly 5 19-1 out

11). 8 Keyed Cache 10 15-1 out

Monmouth

2). 6 Untamed 16-1 out

3). 4 Flashy Zee 6-1 out

4). 2 Set On Salsa ran 2nd, $3.80 place

10). 10 Mischievious Sophie ran 2nd at 38-1, paid $26.40 to place

12). 4 Perry M won, $10.40, $5.00

Friday, July 24

None today

Thursday, July 23 

Gulfstream

9). 5 Invidia (turf only) 14-1 out

Wednesday, July 22 

Delaware

7). 4 Night Sky (2-1 out)

Evangeline

3). 4 Ems Perfect Ten won $7.40, $4.20

5). 8 Fast Time Streaker 5, 4 (7-1 out) 

Indiana

6). 6 Ali Get Your Gun 1 (7-1 out)

Presque Isle Downs

7). 6 Comancheria 5-2 out

Thistledown

2). 7 Helluva Notion won $3.80, $2.60

3). 1 Morant Bay/My Girl Cassie won $2.20, $2.20

8). 8 Jiddy 19-1 out

Tuesday, July 21

Finger Lakes

3). 3 Local Legacy 2 (8-1 out)

Indiana Downs

8). 3 Federal Agent ran 2nd, $8.20 place

Presque Isle Downs

5). 2 Chosen Heir 5 (6-5 out)

6). 6 Bella Bianca ran 2nd $3.60 place

8). 5 Cosmic Karma 2 (7-2 out)

Parx

2). 4 Marcy won $2.40, $2.20

3). 3 Current Rate 2 (won $4.20, $2.60, Cold $15.80 Exacta)

9). 2 Stevie's Wonder won $2.20, $2.10

Monday, July 20

Delaware

6). 6 Star Blessing (2-1 out)

Thistledown

5). 7 Plazarita 10 (31-1 out, 10 horse won at 2-1 odds)

Sunday, July 19

Arlington

1). 5 Bonita Rita ran 2nd, $4.20 place (9-2 odds)

Belterra

4). 5 Rollin Away Baby 4 (2-1 out)

6). 8 My Miss E. J. 7 (10-1 out)

8). 7 Peach Schnapps won $2.80, $2.40

Parx

2). 5 Edyanne (2-1 out)

Canterbury

10). 3 Summer Swing (4-5 out)

Ellis Park

2). 2 Starship Aquarius 5 ($4.00, $2.80, Cold $11.40 exacta)

5). 7 Lent (7-2 out)

Emerald Downs

1). 1 La Brisa (5-2 out)

Prairie Meadows

2). 4 Itsallaboutyou 5 (13-1 out)

3). 9 My Star Oasis (won, $4.40 $3.00)

4). 3 Runnin Thunder 1 (won, $14.40, $6.60)

Presque Isle Downs

8). 6 Red Hot Quest (31-1, out)

Saturday, July 18 

Monmouth

2). 2 Sweet On Smokey won $3.60, $2.40

Woodbine

4). 4 Drinks After Work ran 2nd, $8.50 place (the exacta with the favorite paid $71.00, note, I need to play the exacta in every race)

Belterra

3). 5 Stormin Greeley won $7.60, $3.60

Indiana

8). 8 Zeven 6 14-1 out

10). 6 All Day Long  8-1 out

Evangeline

5). 4 Catwalk Commando 9-1 out

Ellis Park

3). 2 Casket Model 3 11-1 out

Friday, July 17

Woodbine

1). 2 Fiddlelina 4 10-1 out

3). 2 O Wanderlust ran 2nd $8.70 place

4). 4 Reliably Royal 8 6-1 out

6). 2 Amber Brewski 4 3-2 out

Arlington

4). 5 Legend Forever 3 9-1 out

6). 4 Coramoss ran 2nd, $3.20 place

7). 2 Revolt 5-1 out

Charlestown

2). 7 Country Waltz ran 2nd $2.40 place

4). 2 London By Night won $6.00, $3.60

Ellis Park

2). 6 Swaylon Braylon won $5.00, $2.80

3). 8 Another Trick 3-1 out

4). 4 Rowdy Miss 5 7-2 out

6). Fryers Well won $4.40, $2.20

Belterra BTP

1). 6 Yo Eleven 9-2 out

4). 7 Daves Kind Eyes 2-1 out

5). 3 Bee Bee Q 3-1 out

7). 4 Yankee Diva won $5.20, $4.00

Evangeline

2). 8 Royan Danseur won $5.40, $3.20

5). 9 House Of Cards 7-2 out

6). 4 Classy Cajun 12-1 out

7). 7 Spirit Of A Cat ran 2nd, $4.80 place

9). 5 Twnstrikesinarow ran 2nd, $4.00 place

Thursday, July 16

Del Mar

1). 4 The Mad Hungarian 9-1 out

2). 10 Moscato Girl 14-1 out

3). 4 Ink Well won $12.60, $6.20

4). 8 Calm Pacific 29-1 out

Evangeline

1). 2 Nodic Bull 3/5, ran second, $2.40 place

2). 1 Cape Race won $9.40, $5.40

4). 7 Leave Em Counting won $3.20, $2.10

5). 5 Watch The Gate  6-1 out

9). 8 Pistolera won $9.80, $4.40

Finger Lakes

5). 3 Huge Asset 4/5, ran 2nd, $2.80 place

8). 3 Bullnose Brick 5-2 out

9). 6 Ali's Winner 5-2 out

Gulfstream

8). 6 Divine Energy 5-2 out

Indiana Downs

1). 5 Maxaintasaint 25-1 out

2). 2 Annie's On Tour 5-1 out

4). 7 General Ling 9-1 out

6). 5 In A Jif 3-1 out

Charlestown

1). 11 Phantom Fear

4). 4 Kathy's Limit

5). 3 Razzle Dazzle Man

6). 8 Mr Chase

Wednesday, July 15

Charlestown

2). 6 Race on Birdcee won $106.20, $27.20

4). 12 Holy Boom 5-2 out

5). 11 Charitable Flight

8). Winchester Warrior ran 2nd $3.40 place

Indiana

4). 2 Fupay's Vision won $12.80, $6.00

5). 13 Candywaltz ran 2nd $3.20 place

8). 6 Artsy 2-1 out

Woodbine

2). 11 Live Forever 7-2 out

7). 8 Save My Soul 5, 3 won $11.60, $5.70 8-3 exacta paid $40.80

Tuesday, July 14 (today I'm cutting down on favorites)

Indiana Downs

1). 6 Cody's Parade 5-1 out

2). 8 Sweet And Creamy 14-1 out

3). 8 Wind Rider 7-1 out

4). 1A She's A Pearl ran 2nd $6.00 place

6). 8 Kinker 2 won $58.20, $22.00, 8-2 exacta came in COLD paid $255.60

8). 4 Short And Sassy 9-2 out

Presque Isle Downs

1). 4 Dancing Together won $4.20, $2.80

3). 3 Lazy Nathan 2-1 out

6). 2 Charleston Pier 11-1 out

7). 2 Miss Tapit 13-1 out

8). 6 Jessie's Trick 10-1 out

Parx

2). 6 Lost In Success won $3.80, $2.60

6). 7 Free Will 2-1 out

8). 8 Alissa R N 4 out

9). 6 Generally George 10-1 out

Finger Lakes

5). 10 Paris Sunshine ran 2nd $3.00 place

7). 3 Sir Toby won $11.20, $6.30

9). 8 Letters Of Fire 2-1 out

Monday, July 13 (5 winners, 11 placed, 23 starts, total win return $33.40, place return $42.40)

After one day, not that good although 11 of the 23 horses ran first or second. There were too many favorites. 

Thistledown

1). 4 Swifty Unueax won $3.20, $3.00

2). 6 Overstand 1-1 out

3). 6 R Fast Cat ran third

4). 5 Pretty Heiress 4-1 out

5). 4 J's Two Step Halo 3-2 out

6). 4 Van Damme 6-1 out

7). 3 Comeflywithanangel won $7.40, $4.00

8). Designator 4-1 out

Parx

1). 3 Magic Harbor ran 2nd $4.60 place

3). 5 Jimmy Soul 3-1 out

4). 2 Superlong ran 2nd $3.00 place

6). 1 Scorpion Aly won $11.80, $5.20

7). 1 Magic Soul ran 2nd $5.00 place

9). 10 Beau Who 8-1 out

Finger Lakes

1). 5 Mighty One ran 2nd $2.60 place

2). 5 Snake Pit 1/4 odds, ran out

3). 4 Truly Devoted won $5.00, $2.90

4). 4 Freddie G 7-5 out

5). 2 Freight 4-5 out

6). 6 Signature Seven 5-2 out

7). 8 Crashing Colby ran 2nd, $4.00 place

8). 10 Epiphany won $6.00, $3.80

9). 8 Estimator ran 2nd, $4.30 to place

 

 

The 2013 Preakness Wrap Up by Bob Pandolfo

I gave out the winner of the Preakness on this page and for my subscribers. Oxbow paid $32.80. My Pace Handicapping Longshots book has a method called the Pace Shape Method and that picked Oxbow to win. I tested the method on this site last year and it showed a big profit. I was dead set against Orb in this race for several reasons. One, he had passed exhausted horses with a dream trip in the Derby. 2) He had never raced inside of horses (always outside). 3). He had not shown what I call "brilliant speed" at any point in any of his races. Orb is a good racehorse but he is not exceptionally fast. To bet him down to 3-5 in that field was ridiculous.  Am interesting side note to the Preakness, I believe the Track Bias helped Oxbow. The Pimlico track was favoring outside closers all day and the rail was dead. The riders were yanking their horses to the 3 and 4 path all day trying to avoid the deep rail. If you watch the replay you'll notice that Gary Stevens raced Oxbow off the rail the entire race then moved him into the 4 path turning into the stretch. Since the jockeys thought that the place to be was rallying wide they all took back to make one run but it back fired when Stevens, a masterful front end rider, slowed the pace down to his liking and stole it. I don't think that this is a strong drop of 3yo's. The fastest horses are all bred for shorter distances and don't want to run long, so the Belmont should be wide open. 

Pandy's Preakness Picks by Bob Pandolfo

PIMLICO THE PREAKNESS

RACE 12

6 OXBOW 12-1 MA
7 WILL TAKE CHARGE 12-1
1 ORB 8-5
8 GOVERNOR CHARLIE 12-1

I do not agree with many who feel that ORB is a standout here. I actually think this is a wide open race. 

OXBOW was close to the wicked pace in the Kentucky Derby, actually took the lead briefly and finished 6th, the only horse in the race that was close to the pace and didn't finished up the track; this horse fits one of my best Longshot angles (an angle that is explained in my Pace Handicapping Longshots book, which seems to condition a horse for its next start); upset call...WILL TAKE CHARGE beat Oxbow in the Rebel stakes at Oaklawn. The Diamonds did not come up that good for the Oaklawn races, which concerns me, but the track was very slow. This big colt had to check in the midst of his rally last time and the last time he ran poorly over a sloppy track he came back and won the Rebel; rider change to Mike Smith...ORB had a dream setup in the Derby as a horse was uncontrollable on the lead and set a vicious pace, virtually eliminating the horses that were stalking and setting things up for the deep closers. ORB has trained strongly coming out of the race and should go well. The rail makes it interesting since ORB has always rallied wide. This means that Rosario will most likely drop back and try to work his way to the outside which could cause him some traffic problems...GOVERNOR CHARLIE broke the track record for 9 furlongs winning the Sunland Derby and that race produced the best Diamond Rating (96). The track was lightning fast that day but I wouldn't be too quick to dismiss the Sunland Derby form. You may remember that Mine That Bird was ranked 2nd on Diamond Ratings coming into the 2009 Kentucky Derby, based on his effort in the Sunland Derby, and he won the Kentucky Derby at 50-1 odds. This horse, GOVERNOR CHARLIE is well bred. He is by Midnight Lute, a champion sprinter. Some people will say that he's bred for speed but Midnight Lute is by Real Quiet, a horse who won the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness for these same connections, and the pedigree on the dam's side is regal as she is out of two time champion and Hall of Famer, Silverbulletday, a great race mare who won the Kentucky Oaks and Breeders Cup Juvenile. GOVERNOR CHARLIE trained poorly after the Sunland win so Baffert skipped the Derby but he has trained much sharper since then and he has improved in all three of his starts. 

 

 

 

 

Copyright Pandymonium Publications.
For problems or questions regarding this web contact [pandyspicks@yahoo.com].
Last updated: February 22, 2013.