Format notes: LS live longshot, PP preferred Play, BAL Bombs Away Longshot, BCL Boxcar Longshot, PS fits the Pro Simulcast spot play method. MA means that it fits the Pace Shape method, POP Power Pace Method
NOTE - If you are using The Diamond System, Bris or Trackmaster, please email me at pando4444@gmail.com for a free update...I have two files you can add to your Diamond folder that will update the program for BAQ and the Gulfstream Synthetic.
Sharphorses Selection Service
Wednesday, April 10
 |
TAMPA BAY |
RACE 2
7 D'TIGER LILY (MA)
4 RITABOOK
5 BEATIFUL KARLA
3 OSCAR GAZE
D'TIGER LILY came off a 7 month layoff in last and pressed a hot pace against better before tiring. Takes a key drop making her first start for a tag, picks up live apprentice rider and has a chance to wire these...RITABOOK has been racing well, drops back down to level of solid placing three starts back and may be the main rival...BEATIFUL KARLA took a key drop in last and came through at 4/5. Moves up off a claim by a barn that's having a strong meet...OSCAR GAZE steps up off a nice win over the track.
Saturday, April 6
|
KEENELAND |
RACE 10 - Toyota Bluegrass Stakes
6 JUST A TOUCH
10 SIERRA LEONE
4 DORNOCH
1 TOP CONOR
JUST A TOUCH has run fast in both starts, both on off track, continues to train sharply for high-percentage barn and appears set for a good stalking trip...SIERRA LEONE just missed while racing against the bias in the Remsen and came back with a strong closing win in the Risen Star. The post is tricky and speed did well on opening day but if the pace works out and the track is playing fairly, this strong closer can get up...DORNOCH was a little lucky winning the Fountain Of Youth, which was depleted by late scratches. Two back he set a quick pace and dug in gamely to hold off SIERRA LEONE but the off track was kind to speed that day; one to catch...TOP CONOR sold for $1 million and won his debut going a mile at Gulfstream in February. Trainer Chad Brown puts him right in a major stakes race so he must think the horse has talent.
Sharphorses Selection Service
Wednesday, April 3
|
TAMPA BAY |
RACE 1 (Turf or Dirt)
8 NAPOLEON'S WAR
1 EXTRA MONEY
4 TWO MINUTES APART
It's supposed to rain here today but it might not start by the first race. In any case, I think my top pick could threaten on either surface. NAPOLEON'S WAR showed speed in debut at Laurel in October then regressed in a tougher field second time out. He returned in a new barn in February and showed some early pace over this track before tiring. This horse is bred to run long on turf and also has a very good off track pedigree. With blinkers off stretching out for the first time off a race he may have needed, he might be worth a price here on turf or dirt...EXTRA MONEY showed early speed against tougher before tiring in his second career start and his first since August. He drops in for a tag for the first time...TWO MINUTES APART has run some pretty good races against this type, has been freshened by a good barn.
Sharphorses Selection Service
Monday, April 1
| MAHONING VALLEY |
RACE 2
5 MACHISTO
4 C C'S CLEAR CREEK
MACHISTO ships in for high-percentage trainer, handled the turns well at Charles Town and shows improving figures...C C'S CLEAR CREEK is 0 for 30 but drops in for a tag today.
RACE 3
1 WILD MARIAH
WILD MARIAH has been chasing better, makes first start for a tag and looks tough to catch.
|
PARX |
RACE 1
7 INSIDE SECRET
2 HUMBLE JOE
4 RORY'S ORCHARD
INSIDE SECRET showed improvement in his second career start and first off a three month layoff, chasing the pace before tiring. He stretches out with room to improve and should be forwardly placed in a field that lacks early speed...HUMBLE JOE ran the two best races of his career since stretching out, changes hands off the claim with a key rider change...RORY'S ORCHARD rallied wide for the show chasing a runaway winner that shipped in from Laurel; stretches out.
Computer Handicapping Test 2024 -
Saturday, January 6, 2024
|
GULFSTREAM |
RACE 1
9 SMART JENNY 2 (9-1, ran third, $3.60 show, 2 won and paid $4.40)
RACE 2
7 FARM TEAM 2, 8 (18-1, out, 8-2 exacta paid $13.80)
Thursday, February 1
|
GULFSTREAM |
RACE 1
3 GABAGOOL 5
RACE 2
4 SIPHON CITY
1 IT'S ONLY WORDS
2 RED HOT SPARK
POWER PACE METHOD
Tests note: This is the test I ran for my Power Pace Handicapping book. The picks were posted on this page prior to the day's races, so it was a "live" test. Results are based on $2 win and place bets and when there are numbers after the top pick, those are used in $2 exacta boxes with the top pick. When the pick does not finish 1st or 2nd I simply list it as "out" because I'm not counting show bets. After 44 days, 71 winners-24%, 113 placed-39% in 293 picks ($582.00), total win return $708.70, place return $559.10, $2.00 Exacta boxes, $528.00 wagered, $559.60.00 returned, exactas paid $255.60, $40.80, $11.40, $15.80, $26.60, $14.80, $14.20, $51.60, $24.80, $97.40, $6.60. Six of the eleven exacta hits were "cold."
So far, pretty amazing...win and exacta profits and a small loss on place bets. The win percentage is 24%. Considering how many longshots I've hit, the win percentage is superb. High win percentages usually lead to a loss. The hit percentage on the 132, $2.00 exacta boxes ($4.00 per wager) is 8%, 10 exacta hits in 132 boxes. I'm not using traditional past performances at all. I'm only using pace and speed figures, no running lines. Of course, how I'm using these numbers is the key. I'm not looking for the fastest early pace horses, I'm not looking for the highest (fastest) speed figures.
The first day wasn't that good, although 11 of the 23 horses ran first or second. I picked too many favorites. Second day, I cut down on the amount of favorites and hit the exact same win percentage (22%) but two of the winners paid very good, $58.20 and $11.20. I also had a cold $255.60 exacta. In that race, the two horse looked like a legit favorite that figured to be tough to beat, so I listed the race 8-2, which is what came in. I'm only putting a second horse or third horse when I see obvious horses to use in exacta boxes.
The third day was exceptional as I hit 3 winners in 8 plays and the win payoffs were $106.20, $12.80, and $11.60, plus two other horses ran second and I hit a $40.80 exacta. It's interesting that I've only played exactas in three races and hit two exactas.
On Thursday, which was the 4th day, it had 4 winners in 17 picks and a profit of $0.40 cents.
On Friday, the 5th day, 20 picks, 5 winners and 10 places. No good prices so a loss for the day, although the place bets returned $38.90, a small loss.
On Saturday, 6th day, 7 picks 2 winners and one ran 2nd, small loss, not bad.
Sunday, 7th day, 13 picks, 4 winners, 5 placed. Not a bad day, a loss of $0.40 cents. It's
Monday, 8th day, two horses, no winners. In the 6th at Delaware I had a tough choice between two horses, the 5 and the 6, and I went with the 6 because it had better overall speed figures (one of the things I'm using to separate these contenders). Well, the 5 horse won and paid $51.40. So for now on if I'm having a hard time deciding between two horses I'll play both of them if the are 4-1 or higher. If both horses are below 4-1 odds, the bet will be the horse that goes off at higher odds.
Tuesday, 9th day, 8 picks, 3 winners, all at Parx, all favorites, which produced a loss on win bets, five horses placed which showed a profit, exactas, one hit, a loss of twenty cents. I really don't want to include too many favorites but the horses at Parx yesterday all looked like locks on this system, and they all won.
Wednesday, 10th day, 8 picks, 3 winners returned $13.40 to win, not a bad loss. Interesting that ion two of the races I listed other horses for exactas and they came in so it's a good sign, when my top pick hits I have a good shot at the exacta.
Thursday, 11th day, 1 pick, out.
No picks Friday
Saturday, 12th day, pretty good day, two winners in 9 picks, four places and one of the horses paid $26.40 to place
Sunday, 13th day, winning day. 13 picks two winners that paid $20.20 and $13.00. But favorites did poorly losing at 6/5, 1/2, 7/5 and 9/5. I've got to start listing these with a minimum acceptable odds.
Monday, 14th day, 4 winning favorites but 8 of the 13 horses placed. Two exacta boxes produced one hit at $26.60.
Tuesday, 15th day, 7 picks, 2 winners and a small loss, one cold exacta hit of $14.80.
Wednesday, 16th day, 11 picks and on win bets, two winners and a $21.40 return, another small loss, not bad. When you can get back most of your money in a day of betting, that's good. What worries me is when I bet 11 horses and get nothing back! So far this system has been consistent and not that scary, no wipe-out days.
Thursday, 17th day, I was pressed for time but I came up with 8 picks at four tracks, two of them won at $9.60 and $5.40, another placed and one exacta hit out of six. Again, a small loss on win bets, not bad.
Friday, 18th day, 4 winners and one exacta ($51.60) in 18 plays, not a good day. Where's those longshot winners that came early on?
Monday, 19th day, 2 winners in 7 plays including a $14.20 winner and two others ran second, profitable day.
Tuesday, August 4, 20th day, 3 winners in 7 plays and a return of $20.80 on the win bets.
Wednesday, August 5, 21st day, 2 winners in 10 races, two others ran second, one exacta hit.
Thursday, August 6, 22nd day, 4 races, no winners, one ran second and paid $5.00 to place
Saturday, August 8, 23rd day, 5 picks, one winner
Sunday, August 9, 24th day, nice day, six picks, two winners, a $97.40 exacta with a horse that ran second at 24-1, and four of the six horses placed.
Monday, August 10, 25th day, only 1 chalk winner in 6 plays, another ran second.
Saturday, August 15, 26th day, 0 for 5, one horse ran second at 9-1
Sunday, August 16, 0 for 3 and one horse ran second at 4-1
Monday, August 17, 28th day, 2 picks, no winners.
Tuesday, August 18, 29th day, bad day, 7 picks, no winners, one horse placed at 7-2 odds.
Monday, August 24, 6 picks, one winner
Saturday, August 29, great day, one pick, and it won and paid $44.10.
Sunday, 32nd day, August 30, 0 for 2
Monday, August 31, 33rd day, bad day, 0 for 4. Parx has been more speed favoring since it came back from a month off.
Sunday, September 6, 34th day, very good day, two winners in 3 picks including a $25.20 winner!
Monday, September 7, 35th day, one pick ran second
Sunday, September 20, 36th day, two picks, one ran second
Friday, September 25, 37th day, three picks at Penn National, and a nice $24.80 winner)
Saturday, September 26, 38th day, one pick, one winner, $14.60
Sunday, September 27, 39th day, two picks, no winners.
Saturday, October 3, 40th day, two picks, one winner paid $3.30 with a cold $6.60 exacta.
Saturday, October 10, 41st day, one pick, one $10.00 winner
Sunday, October 11, 42nd day, two picks, no winners
Saturday, October 17, 43rd day, one pick, no winners
Saturday, October 24, two picks, one $3.40 winner
Saturday, October 24
Woodbine
2). 5 Titan 1 (5-1, ran third)
Parx
2). 3 Behr In The Woods 2 (won easily, paid $3.40)
Saturday, October 17
Keeneland
4). 5 Torcida (5-1 out)
Sunday, October 11
Woodbine
1). 6 Wheres The Duke 4 (7-2 out)
3). 4 Del Cielo 3 (5-1 out)
Saturday, October 10
Santa Anita
3). 3 All Star Parade (won, $10.00)
Saturday, October 3
Hawthorne
1). 2 Nagy's Piggy Bank 5 (won $3.40, cold $6.60 exacta)
Keeneland
10). 2 Anythingyoucando 7 (5-2 out...7 won and paid $12.20)
Sunday, September 27
Churchill
5). 5 Fearless Majesty 4 (5-1 out)
Woodbine
10). 14 Sizzling 2 (9-1 out)
Saturday, September 26
Woodbine
4). 2 Notaloneinhishead 5 (won, $14.60, $6.40)
Friday, September 25
Penn National
3). 6 Thirty One Always 5 (won, $24.80, $9.00)
4). 4 Great Life 6 (7-2 out)
7). 2 Deputy Cavalier 7 (ran third at 10-1)
Sunday, September 20
Churchill
3). 5 Purimeter 3 (6-1 out)
Parx
5). 5 Endless Ride 2 (2-1, ran second, $3.20 place)
Monday, September 7
Woodbine
3). 6 Red Fever (3-1 odds, finished 2nd, $3.80 place)
Sunday, September 6
Monmouth
2). 4 More Hundred Acre 5 (won $25.20, $10.60)
Presque Isle Downs
2). 4 Wisenbossy (won $3.20, $2.20)
Woodbine
2). 6 Wild Dyna (ran third at 8-1)
Monday, August 31
Parx
2). 6 Bachman Billy 5 (3-2 out)
3). 9 Bubz Foo Foo 8 (5-1 out)
7). 4 Park Ranger 5 (7-1 out)
10). 8 Speightscity (5-1 out)
Presque Isle Downs
4). 5 Frosty Girl 8 (5-1 out)
Sunday, August 30
Monmouth
7). 2 S. S. Minnow 1 (7-2 out)
Del Mar
10). 12 Kiss My Face 8 (out)
Saturday, August 29
Woodbine
4). 3 Victory Ring 1 (won $44.10)
Monday, August 24
Delaware
6). 1 Doc Of The Court 4 (5-1 out)
8). 4 Danzig Storm 3 (7-2 out)
Finger Lakes
3). 1 Brasstown Sheriff 4 (9-2 out)
5). 3 Jet Set Cat (4-1 out)
Presque Isle Downs
2). 8 Guy On The Go (2-1 out)
6). 3 Just Too Much (won, $6.20)
Tuesday, August 18
Finger Lakes
5). 5 Who
6). 2 Easy Street
8). 3 Very Accomplished
9). 1 Joy Ride 3
Indiana
2). 4 Flaming Desire 11
Fort Erie
1). 4 Cajun Kiss
2). 6 One Way Express 3
Monday, August 17
Finger Lakes
6). 7 Two And Twenty 3 (5-1 out)
Thistledown
8). 7 Uncle Virgil (2-1 out)
Sunday, August 16
Del Mar
3). 4 Cat Burglar 2 (ran 2nd, $5.60 place)
Gulfstream
3). 9 Tactica For Ever 8 (9-1 out)
4). 2 Ottauquechee 1 (12-1 out)
Saturday, August 15
Arlington
3). 3 Premura 5 (7-2 out)
Del Mar
2). 5 Warren's Jen Fizz (16-1 out)
6). 4 Baccelo 11 (9-1, ran second, $9.80 place)
Woodbine
1). 7 Baldur 8 (12-1 out)
4). 6 Philip The Tank (5-2 out)
Monday, August 10
Parx
8). 6 Image 1 (17-1 out)
Thistledown
1). 5 N C C Troubador 3 (67-1 out)
2). 6 Big Roques (14-1 out)
4). 5 Diesel Only 6, 2 (ran 2nd, $3.00 place)
5). 6 Jango 2 (won $4.20, $2.60)
6). 6 Baby Wildcat 4 (6-1 out)
Sunday, August 9
Del Mar
4). 2 China Prince 4 (2-1 out)
Monmouth
1). 4 Culminating 6 (8-1 out)
4). 5 Beijing House 2 (ran 2nd at 24-1, $15.80 place, 2-5 exacta paid $97.40)
6). 6 First Ronin 5 (ran 2nd at 10-1 odds, $6.40 place)
Woodbine
2). 7 Wales End (won $5.90, $4.20)
9). 5 Ida Bambina1 (won $13.60, $5.40)
Saturday, August 8
Del Mar
10). 1 Crystal Harbor 2 (8-1 out)
Monmouth
5). 3 Lubango 4 (won, $5.20, $3.00)
Gulfstream
3). 5 Naval Command 2 (2-1 out)
4). 6 Gala Award 5 (7-1 out)
Arlington
1). 5 Tiz Lately 2 (7-2 out)
Thursday, August 6
Belterra
2). 6 My Harlequin Man 5 (18-1 out)
Charlestown
5). 7 Majestic Indeed 5-2 out
Del Mar
1). 3 Avicii (4-1, ran 2nd, $5.00 place)
Finger Lakes
9). 8 Senora de Lolol (7-2 out)
Wednesday, August 5
Del Mar
8). 4 Avo 2 (9-2 out)
Praire Meadows
1). 2 Tournado Lynnie won $3.60, $2.60
2). 2 Damaris 3 (3-2 out)
5). 4 Bluegrass Soul won $6.40, $4.00
6). 7 Tyler T 6 (ran 2nd, $5.00 place)
Thistledown
1). 6 Gypsy Spin 1 (75-1 ran third)
3). 2 Citizen John 5 (5-2 out)
4). 7 Notta Boat 5 (19-1 out)
6). 7 Indielo 6 (ran 2nd, $3.80 place, 6-7 exacta paid $24.80)
8). 5 Gun Roar 4 (9-1 out)
Tuesday, August 4
Delaware
1). 4 Grace Is A Beauty 5 (3-2 out)
2). 6 Mud Slide Slim 4 (won, $9.40, $3.80)
Parx
3). 3 Hisnameisjon 8 (3-1 out)
5). 5 Hey Kiddo 2 (won $4.60, $2.80)
7). 5 Jay Eye See 9 (5-2 out)
9). 2 Goldland 6 (won $6.80, $4.00)
Indiana
9). 11 Candy Striker (7-1 out)
Monday, August 3
Thistledown
4). 3 Hide n Jane 7 (ran 2nd, $4.60 place)
6). 5 Proper Touch 4 (6-1 out)
Presque Isle Downs
2). 4 Carson's Ten 1 (9-2 out)
Finger Lakes
3). 7 Quiet Power 2 (6-1 out)
6). 4 River Monster (won, $14.20, $6.00)
8). 8 Just Catty 4 (7-1, ran 2nd, $6.00 place)
9). 5 Easy Street (won, $4.10, $2.90)
No Picks Sunday, August 2
No Picks Saturday, August 1
Friday, July 31
Arlington
1). 6 Itzacoldcase 1 (4-1 out)
Belterra
1). 2 Touch Wood 3 (6-5 out)
3). 3 Yankee Diva won $4.20, $3.40
4). 3 Pretentious Belle (5-2 out)
Ellis Park
1). 7 Trawee (ran 2nd, $3.80 place)
5). 2 Precipice Trail (won $5.00, $3.60)
Emerald Downs
5). 6 Shadow Code 2 (6-1 out)
Finger Lakes
6). 3 My Kryptonite 6 (5-1 out)
Gulfstream
5). 7 Rednamite 4 (22-1 out)
Monmouth
8). 5 Bama Bound (4-1 out)
Thistledown
3). 4 Clever Performance 1 (won $4.80, $3.20)
4). 3 Hour By Hour 8 (won $3.60, $3.40)
5). 3 Pearl Of Wisdom (7-5 out)
6). 4 Zipco or 7 Boom de Ya Da (whichever goes off at highest odds, plus 4-7 exacta box) (6-1 ran second, $6.00 place, 7-4 exacta paid $51.60)
Indiana
3). 3 Just Likea Bird 4 (8-1 out)
4). 8 Heading To Boca 2 (8-1 out)
6). 10 My Night Flight 3 (7-2 out)
7). 6 Tiaras N Tutoos 2 (19-1 out)
Thursday, July 30
Arlington
1). 3 Wall Student 3 (22-1 out)
Belterra
3). 3 Pleasant Trip won $9.60, $4.40
Presque Isle Downs
1). 5 Shopper 3 (ran 2nd $3.00 place, 3-5 exacta paid $14.20)
2). 5 Cowgirl Spirit 1 (6-1 out)
3). 5 Wish To Opine 4 (33-1 out)
6). 4 Miss Twinkle Toes 6 (4-1 out)
7). 3 Ex Con (9-2 out)
Evangeline
7). 6 Rikleiner 3 (won $5.40, $3.20)
Wednesday, July 29
Delaware
2). 7 Catch Me Kaz 6 (5-1 out)
6). 7 Party Starter 5-1 out
Evangeline
7). 4 Powder Road won $7.60, $2.80
Indiana
3). 7 Hotbutteredsoul 4 (6-5 out)
4). 2 Echo Go 8 (14-1 out)
6). 1 Fear The Kitten (2-1 out)
Presque Isle Downs
6). 2 Wave Catching 1 (15-1 out)
8). 5 Cosmic Karma (4-1 out)
Thistledown
3). 2 Rambo Rib 6 (6-1 out)
5). 2 Flash A Smile 3 won, $13.80, $7.60
8). 6 Slamming Gin (8-5, finished 1st, dq'd placed 2nd, $2.60 place)
Tuesday, July 28
Presque Isle
2). 8 Tippany 5 won $4.20, $2.80, cold 8-5 exacta paid $14.80
Parx
1). 6 Pearls For Girls 3 (8-5 out)
Indiana
1). 9 Hadda Notion 2 (5-1 out)
2). 3 Wind Rider 7 (won, $9.20, $5.00)
3). 3 Lagoon of Diamonds 2,8 (6.70-1, out)
6). 5 Escalate 8 (2-1 out)
8). 9 Rustica 4 (15-1 out)
Monday, July 27 (I'm still not sure about the odds, I may limit it to 3-2 odds or higher, but I have to do some research. Some of these today may be underlays)
Thistledown
2). 1 Nice Shot won $5.00, $3.60
4). 1 Pretty Heiress 2-1 out
Presque Isle Downs
4). 2 Spirit Of Peace ran 2nd, $4.00 place
Parx
2). 1 Surfing U S A ran 2nd, $2.60 place
3). 2 So Valor ran 2nd, $3.60 place
5). 3 He's So Fine 9-5 out
9). 6 Litlmisssmartypants 2 (ran 2nd, $3.60 place, 2-6 exacta returned $26.60)
Delaware
1). 6 Slan Abhaile (former class horse won for fun, paid $3.80, $2.40)
5). 5 Cay To Pomeroy 2 (7-2 out....the two horse, my 2nd ranked pick, won and paid $12.00, a good sign even though it produced a losing exacta box)
Finger Lakes
4). 1 Rincon Behr 5-2 out
5). 4 Global Warrior won, $4.70, $3.60
8). 5 Mondor won, $3.00, $2.30
9). 5 Busted Handle (8-1 out)
Sunday, July 26
Del Mar
1). 4 L X Sunrise 6 (6-1 out)
Monmouth
4). 1 First Ronin 3, 8 (7-1 out)
Woodbine
10). 4 She's A Ringer 6 (7-1 out)
Gulfstream
10). 7 Houston Bull 6 (8-1 out)
11). (turf or dirt) 7 Planar 3 (7-5 out)
Belterra (BTP)
1). 5 Ratina 15-1 out
7). 9 H. J. Arvin won $20.20, $9.00
Canterbury
10). 1 Circus Girl 4 won $13.00, $8.20
Ellis Park
2). 4 Kody With A K 6-5 out
7). 2 Great Stuff 6 (1/2 out)
8). 7 Brown Almighty 5 (7-5 out)
Parx
3). 5 Magic Harbor (9-5 out)
5). 3 Big Variety (5-1 out)
Saturday, July 25
Del Mar
9). 3 Tannersmymuscle 25-1 out
Arlington
5). 3 Read To Me won $8.40, $4.00
Gulfstream
6). 3 Plausibly 5 19-1 out
11). 8 Keyed Cache 10 15-1 out
Monmouth
2). 6 Untamed 16-1 out
3). 4 Flashy Zee 6-1 out
4). 2 Set On Salsa ran 2nd, $3.80 place
10). 10 Mischievious Sophie ran 2nd at 38-1, paid $26.40 to place
12). 4 Perry M won, $10.40, $5.00
Friday, July 24
None today
Thursday, July 23
Gulfstream
9). 5 Invidia (turf only) 14-1 out
Wednesday, July 22
Delaware
7). 4 Night Sky (2-1 out)
Evangeline
3). 4 Ems Perfect Ten won $7.40, $4.20
5). 8 Fast Time Streaker 5, 4 (7-1 out)
Indiana
6). 6 Ali Get Your Gun 1 (7-1 out)
Presque Isle Downs
7). 6 Comancheria 5-2 out
Thistledown
2). 7 Helluva Notion won $3.80, $2.60
3). 1 Morant Bay/My Girl Cassie won $2.20, $2.20
8). 8 Jiddy 19-1 out
Tuesday, July 21
Finger Lakes
3). 3 Local Legacy 2 (8-1 out)
Indiana Downs
8). 3 Federal Agent ran 2nd, $8.20 place
Presque Isle Downs
5). 2 Chosen Heir 5 (6-5 out)
6). 6 Bella Bianca ran 2nd $3.60 place
8). 5 Cosmic Karma 2 (7-2 out)
Parx
2). 4 Marcy won $2.40, $2.20
3). 3 Current Rate 2 (won $4.20, $2.60, Cold $15.80 Exacta)
9). 2 Stevie's Wonder won $2.20, $2.10
Monday, July 20
Delaware
6). 6 Star Blessing (2-1 out)
Thistledown
5). 7 Plazarita 10 (31-1 out, 10 horse won at 2-1 odds)
Sunday, July 19
Arlington
1). 5 Bonita Rita ran 2nd, $4.20 place (9-2 odds)
Belterra
4). 5 Rollin Away Baby 4 (2-1 out)
6). 8 My Miss E. J. 7 (10-1 out)
8). 7 Peach Schnapps won $2.80, $2.40
Parx
2). 5 Edyanne (2-1 out)
Canterbury
10). 3 Summer Swing (4-5 out)
Ellis Park
2). 2 Starship Aquarius 5 ($4.00, $2.80, Cold $11.40 exacta)
5). 7 Lent (7-2 out)
Emerald Downs
1). 1 La Brisa (5-2 out)
Prairie Meadows
2). 4 Itsallaboutyou 5 (13-1 out)
3). 9 My Star Oasis (won, $4.40 $3.00)
4). 3 Runnin Thunder 1 (won, $14.40, $6.60)
Presque Isle Downs
8). 6 Red Hot Quest (31-1, out)
Saturday, July 18
Monmouth
2). 2 Sweet On Smokey won $3.60, $2.40
Woodbine
4). 4 Drinks After Work ran 2nd, $8.50 place (the exacta with the favorite paid $71.00, note, I need to play the exacta in every race)
Belterra
3). 5 Stormin Greeley won $7.60, $3.60
Indiana
8). 8 Zeven 6 14-1 out
10). 6 All Day Long 8-1 out
Evangeline
5). 4 Catwalk Commando 9-1 out
Ellis Park
3). 2 Casket Model 3 11-1 out
Friday, July 17
Woodbine
1). 2 Fiddlelina 4 10-1 out
3). 2 O Wanderlust ran 2nd $8.70 place
4). 4 Reliably Royal 8 6-1 out
6). 2 Amber Brewski 4 3-2 out
Arlington
4). 5 Legend Forever 3 9-1 out
6). 4 Coramoss ran 2nd, $3.20 place
7). 2 Revolt 5-1 out
Charlestown
2). 7 Country Waltz ran 2nd $2.40 place
4). 2 London By Night won $6.00, $3.60
Ellis Park
2). 6 Swaylon Braylon won $5.00, $2.80
3). 8 Another Trick 3-1 out
4). 4 Rowdy Miss 5 7-2 out
6). Fryers Well won $4.40, $2.20
Belterra BTP
1). 6 Yo Eleven 9-2 out
4). 7 Daves Kind Eyes 2-1 out
5). 3 Bee Bee Q 3-1 out
7). 4 Yankee Diva won $5.20, $4.00
Evangeline
2). 8 Royan Danseur won $5.40, $3.20
5). 9 House Of Cards 7-2 out
6). 4 Classy Cajun 12-1 out
7). 7 Spirit Of A Cat ran 2nd, $4.80 place
9). 5 Twnstrikesinarow ran 2nd, $4.00 place
Thursday, July 16
Del Mar
1). 4 The Mad Hungarian 9-1 out
2). 10 Moscato Girl 14-1 out
3). 4 Ink Well won $12.60, $6.20
4). 8 Calm Pacific 29-1 out
Evangeline
1). 2 Nodic Bull 3/5, ran second, $2.40 place
2). 1 Cape Race won $9.40, $5.40
4). 7 Leave Em Counting won $3.20, $2.10
5). 5 Watch The Gate 6-1 out
9). 8 Pistolera won $9.80, $4.40
Finger Lakes
5). 3 Huge Asset 4/5, ran 2nd, $2.80 place
8). 3 Bullnose Brick 5-2 out
9). 6 Ali's Winner 5-2 out
Gulfstream
8). 6 Divine Energy 5-2 out
Indiana Downs
1). 5 Maxaintasaint 25-1 out
2). 2 Annie's On Tour 5-1 out
4). 7 General Ling 9-1 out
6). 5 In A Jif 3-1 out
Charlestown
1). 11 Phantom Fear
4). 4 Kathy's Limit
5). 3 Razzle Dazzle Man
6). 8 Mr Chase
Wednesday, July 15
Charlestown
2). 6 Race on Birdcee won $106.20, $27.20
4). 12 Holy Boom 5-2 out
5). 11 Charitable Flight
8). Winchester Warrior ran 2nd $3.40 place
Indiana
4). 2 Fupay's Vision won $12.80, $6.00
5). 13 Candywaltz ran 2nd $3.20 place
8). 6 Artsy 2-1 out
Woodbine
2). 11 Live Forever 7-2 out
7). 8 Save My Soul 5, 3 won $11.60, $5.70 8-3 exacta paid $40.80
Tuesday, July 14 (today I'm cutting down on favorites)
Indiana Downs
1). 6 Cody's Parade 5-1 out
2). 8 Sweet And Creamy 14-1 out
3). 8 Wind Rider 7-1 out
4). 1A She's A Pearl ran 2nd $6.00 place
6). 8 Kinker 2 won $58.20, $22.00, 8-2 exacta came in COLD paid $255.60
8). 4 Short And Sassy 9-2 out
Presque Isle Downs
1). 4 Dancing Together won $4.20, $2.80
3). 3 Lazy Nathan 2-1 out
6). 2 Charleston Pier 11-1 out
7). 2 Miss Tapit 13-1 out
8). 6 Jessie's Trick 10-1 out
Parx
2). 6 Lost In Success won $3.80, $2.60
6). 7 Free Will 2-1 out
8). 8 Alissa R N 4 out
9). 6 Generally George 10-1 out
Finger Lakes
5). 10 Paris Sunshine ran 2nd $3.00 place
7). 3 Sir Toby won $11.20, $6.30
9). 8 Letters Of Fire 2-1 out
Monday, July 13 (5 winners, 11 placed, 23 starts, total win return $33.40, place return $42.40)
After one day, not that good although 11 of the 23 horses ran first or second. There were too many favorites.
Thistledown
1). 4 Swifty Unueax won $3.20, $3.00
2). 6 Overstand 1-1 out
3). 6 R Fast Cat ran third
4). 5 Pretty Heiress 4-1 out
5). 4 J's Two Step Halo 3-2 out
6). 4 Van Damme 6-1 out
7). 3 Comeflywithanangel won $7.40, $4.00
8). Designator 4-1 out
Parx
1). 3 Magic Harbor ran 2nd $4.60 place
3). 5 Jimmy Soul 3-1 out
4). 2 Superlong ran 2nd $3.00 place
6). 1 Scorpion Aly won $11.80, $5.20
7). 1 Magic Soul ran 2nd $5.00 place
9). 10 Beau Who 8-1 out
Finger Lakes
1). 5 Mighty One ran 2nd $2.60 place
2). 5 Snake Pit 1/4 odds, ran out
3). 4 Truly Devoted won $5.00, $2.90
4). 4 Freddie G 7-5 out
5). 2 Freight 4-5 out
6). 6 Signature Seven 5-2 out
7). 8 Crashing Colby ran 2nd, $4.00 place
8). 10 Epiphany won $6.00, $3.80
9). 8 Estimator ran 2nd, $4.30 to place
The 2013 Preakness Wrap Up by Bob Pandolfo
I gave out the winner of the Preakness on this page and for my subscribers. Oxbow paid $32.80. My Pace Handicapping Longshots book has a method called the Pace Shape Method and that picked Oxbow to win. I tested the method on this site last year and it showed a big profit. I was dead set against Orb in this race for several reasons. One, he had passed exhausted horses with a dream trip in the Derby. 2) He had never raced inside of horses (always outside). 3). He had not shown what I call "brilliant speed" at any point in any of his races. Orb is a good racehorse but he is not exceptionally fast. To bet him down to 3-5 in that field was ridiculous. Am interesting side note to the Preakness, I believe the Track Bias helped Oxbow. The Pimlico track was favoring outside closers all day and the rail was dead. The riders were yanking their horses to the 3 and 4 path all day trying to avoid the deep rail. If you watch the replay you'll notice that Gary Stevens raced Oxbow off the rail the entire race then moved him into the 4 path turning into the stretch. Since the jockeys thought that the place to be was rallying wide they all took back to make one run but it back fired when Stevens, a masterful front end rider, slowed the pace down to his liking and stole it. I don't think that this is a strong drop of 3yo's. The fastest horses are all bred for shorter distances and don't want to run long, so the Belmont should be wide open.
Pandy's Preakness Picks by Bob Pandolfo
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PIMLICO THE PREAKNESS |
RACE 12
| 6 | OXBOW | 12-1 MA |
| 7 | WILL TAKE CHARGE | 12-1 |
| 1 | ORB | 8-5 |
| 8 | GOVERNOR CHARLIE | 12-1 |
I do not agree with many who feel that ORB is a standout here. I actually think this is a wide open race.
OXBOW was close to the wicked pace in the Kentucky Derby, actually took the lead briefly and finished 6th, the only horse in the race that was close to the pace and didn't finished up the track; this horse fits one of my best Longshot angles (an angle that is explained in my Pace Handicapping Longshots book, which seems to condition a horse for its next start); upset call...WILL TAKE CHARGE beat Oxbow in the Rebel stakes at Oaklawn. The Diamonds did not come up that good for the Oaklawn races, which concerns me, but the track was very slow. This big colt had to check in the midst of his rally last time and the last time he ran poorly over a sloppy track he came back and won the Rebel; rider change to Mike Smith...ORB had a dream setup in the Derby as a horse was uncontrollable on the lead and set a vicious pace, virtually eliminating the horses that were stalking and setting things up for the deep closers. ORB has trained strongly coming out of the race and should go well. The rail makes it interesting since ORB has always rallied wide. This means that Rosario will most likely drop back and try to work his way to the outside which could cause him some traffic problems...GOVERNOR CHARLIE broke the track record for 9 furlongs winning the Sunland Derby and that race produced the best Diamond Rating (96). The track was lightning fast that day but I wouldn't be too quick to dismiss the Sunland Derby form. You may remember that Mine That Bird was ranked 2nd on Diamond Ratings coming into the 2009 Kentucky Derby, based on his effort in the Sunland Derby, and he won the Kentucky Derby at 50-1 odds. This horse, GOVERNOR CHARLIE is well bred. He is by Midnight Lute, a champion sprinter. Some people will say that he's bred for speed but Midnight Lute is by Real Quiet, a horse who won the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness for these same connections, and the pedigree on the dam's side is regal as she is out of two time champion and Hall of Famer, Silverbulletday, a great race mare who won the Kentucky Oaks and Breeders Cup Juvenile. GOVERNOR CHARLIE trained poorly after the Sunland win so Baffert skipped the Derby but he has trained much sharper since then and he has improved in all three of his starts.
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